That Fork in the Road Is Between Scalability and Chaos
Every warehouse or factory has a baseline – a fixed labor cost that stays constant week in and week out. But every supply chain pro knows that demand ebbs and flows. And when the volume spikes, you enter what I call your labor-on-demand zone.
That’s where the real opportunity – or danger – begins.
At that point, many operators call in temporary labor. But I’ve seen temp labor problems in warehouses across these United States. Many temp workers walk into a warehouse for the first time, having no idea what to do. Relying on the wrong kind of staffing partner can kill your margins or cripple your performance.
There’s a better way.
At Tompkins Ventures, we help companies identify their labor-on-demand zones. And, and more importantly, we help fill them with speed, precision and reliability.
Let me explain how it works.
Understand the Zone Before You Fill It
Every business has peaks and valleys. But too many executives staff for the peaks – and end up wasting money during the valleys. Others try to stretch their fixed workforce – and pay the price in missed service level agreements, late orders and overtime costs that gut the bottom line.
The smart play? Determine your minimum fixed cost – the number of full-timers you need every single week. Then treat any volume above that as your labor-on-demand zone.
Take, for example, a warehouse that always needs 50 people. During busy weeks (or days or months), it might need 75. The difference – those 25 additional people – is your labor-on-demand zone.
That’s where you tap into flexible labor. And not just any labor. You need a workforce partner that shows up when you need them. You need a labor-on-demand partner that helps you scale up or down based on your demand. Because demand is always variable. So, sometimes you need those 25 extra workers. At other times, you only need 15. But in the case of a severe demand spike, you might need an extra 50.
And, in an age of heightened immigration enforcement and scrutiny over improperly classified 1099 workers, your workforce partner cannot leave you exposed to compliance risk.
How to Identify Your Labor-on-Demand Zone
To fill your labor-on-demand zone, you first have to find it. That starts with data – but it ends with insight.
Your baseline workforce should reflect the minimum number of people needed to maintain daily operations at your lowest consistent volume. If your slowest week of the year still requires 50 people to receive, pick, pack and ship orders, that’s your fixed labor cost.
Now compare that against your historical volume curves. When does your throughput rise above that baseline? Are the spikes predictable? How much do they change driven by holidays, marketing pushes or product launches?
Or are they irregular, tied to customer demand patterns that vary by week, region or product category?
Map those patterns against time, by week, by day, even by shift. Your labor-on-demand zone begins the moment volume outpaces the capacity of your full-time team.
It’s not a guessing game. It’s math, visibility and strategic clarity. And once you’ve identified that zone, you can start managing it – not reacting to it.
Too many teams wait until they’re buried in the backlog to ask for help.
Don’t be one of them. If you need help, connect with Tompkins Ventures. Together, we can help you know your zone. Build your plan. That’s how you win.
Your Peak Will Differ from Others – and That’s the Point
Every company’s labor-on-demand zone hits at a different time.
A few examples:
Agriculture (produce and fresh goods)
- Peak season: Spring-summer (harvest and farmers market seasons)
- Details: Fresh fruits and vegetables are harvested and transported in bulk. Regional seasonality may also apply (e.g., strawberries in early summer, pumpkins in fall).
Apparel and fashion
- Peak season: Spring and fall (new collections) plus holidays
- Details: Spring/summer and fall/winter lines launch in waves, while holidays spike demand for gifts and formalwear.
Consumer electronics
- Peak season: July-August and October-December (back-to-school plus holiday season)
- Details: Beyond the seasonal peaks, launch cycles for new devices also drive demand. Think of people camping out for new iPhones.
Furniture and home improvement
- Peak season: March-June (post-tax refunds and spring renovations)
- Details: Warmer weather and tax refunds prompt home improvement projects and furniture upgrades. DIY materials and large appliances also move during this window.
Automotive parts and accessories
- Peak season: March-May and September-October
- Details: Spring repairs and pre-winter maintenance drive seasonal spikes in demand for parts and tools. Of course, geography affects maintenance concerns. Florida car owners have different worries than those in Michigan.
Outdoor and sporting goods
- Peak season: April-August
- Details: Warm months support strong sales of camping gear, bicycles, fishing equipment and summer sports gear. Winter gear has a smaller peak in October-December, although winter holiday spikes apply here.
Building materials and construction supplies
- Peak season: March-October
- Details: Construction slows in winter but surges in spring and summer, requiring transport of lumber, cement, insulation and tools.
Beverages (non-alcoholic and alcoholic)
- Peak season: May-August (summer events) plus November-December (holidays)
- Details: Summer months are big for soft drinks, water, beer and outdoor events. Holidays drive spikes in wine, spirits and celebratory beverage shipments.
Local Peaks Require Local Solutions
Even week to week, demand varies. And since much of the above applies to North America, you’re going to need to survey your local business and consumer landscape.
In fact, I know of a business park in South America where three companies share the same labor-on-demand pool, basically year-round.
One company’s demand spikes on Mondays and Tuesdays. The second? Wednesdays. The third? Thursdays and Fridays. A single provider rotates most of the same 25 people among all three – based on the day’s demand.
This kind of optimization is only possible when you think strategically about your labor-on-demand zone – and have the right partner to make it happen.
And, of course, special sales or promotions also cause spikes in demand. Amazon’s annual Prime Day and Nordstrom’s Anniversary Sale are just two examples.
The Takeaway? Know Your Zone – and Let’s Talk
Labor-on-demand zones are not just a cost center. They’re a strategic lever.
Handle them right, and you’ll scale with confidence, manage risk and improve your cost per unit. Handle them wrong, and you’ll face quality issues, burnout, ballooning costs – or worse, customer attrition.
At Tompkins Ventures, we know the players. We match our clients with the best labor-on-demand providers – ones who deliver flexibility without legal risk, fill rates north of 99% and retention rates far better than industry standards. Ones who provide you W2 workers to avoid multimillion-dollar compliance lawsuits and INS raids.
If you’re not sure where your labor-on-demand zone begins – or how to fill it – let’s talk.
Let’s find your zone. And let’s fill it with confidence.
Related Reading
- Labor on Demand: Your Strategic Edge in Every Peak Season
- Top 5 Reasons to Hire 3PLs
- New Independent Contractor Rules: What You Need to Know
Jim Tompkins, Chairman of Tompkins Ventures, is an international authority on designing and implementing end-to-end supply chains. Over five decades, he has designed countless industrial facilities and supply chain solutions, enhancing the growth of numerous companies. He previously built Tompkins International from a backyard startup into an international consulting and implementation firm. Jim earned his B.S., M.S. and Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering from Purdue University.